What is the outlook for the energy industry for the next decade?  I have advised many of the largest green energy companies and traditional energy companies on the future. 

In “The Future of Almost Everything” published in 2019, I warned that unstable prices would create a lot of chaos in future for energy companies, and I was right.  Energy forecasts always have to be seen in the context of the global economy, geopolitics, technology, innovation, urbanisation, migration and social transformation.  I wrote in 2019 that we would be likely to see unstable oil prices with all kinds of supply and demand shocks, and prices ranging from above $180 to below $40. Just so. 

And I also wrote that these price convulsions would drive many green energy companies out of business, which is what is already happening...

* "How AI Will Change your life - A Futurist's Guide to a Super-Smart World" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books.  It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including the impact of AI on the future energy industry.

Yet in many ways, despite recent shocks, the fundamentals of successful logistics and supply chain management are still changing relatively slowly. 

For example, before COVID, moving a container 150km by lorry from Birmingham to Southampton cost the same as moving the same container 10,000km by sea from Southampton to Beijing. It is cheaper to transport melons from Istanbul to Naples than to drive melons from a village up in the Italian mountains, to the same market.  This overwhelmingly huge difference in sea freight costs compared to roads will be one of the single greatest drivers of future global trade, over the next 30-50 years, despite increased energy costs. It is the primary reason why global trade has grown at twice the rate of global production over the last 30 years...

* "How AI Will Change your life - A Futurist's Guide to a Super-Smart World" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books.  It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including the impact of AI on manufacturing 5.0, logistics and supply chain management.

What is the future of flying taxis?  Many are asking questions relating to Urban Air Mobility, flying vehicles, electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft and so on. But of course all those will depend on AI / Artificial Intelligence for flying and for route planning.  Over more than two decades I have made many accurate predictions about the aviation industry - see elsewhere on this site.  And I have advised many global aviation companies including giants such as Airbus, Dassault Falcon and several airlines.  

More than 250 companies around the world are now investing in next-generation, low-cost, electric powered flying taxis. Most Urban Air Mobility companies are small startups that you have never heard of, while the largest aircraft manufacture are also innovating in this area. The top ten UAM startups have received over $6bn in funding over the last 5 years, with successful test flights over more than 150kms between charges. 

Future of aviation industry technology, aviation jobs, aviation safety, aviation fuels. Trends in the aviation industry by 2035. Aviation keynote speaker for your event.

* "How AI Will Change your life - A Futurist's Guide to a Super-Smart World" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books.  It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including the impact of AI on aviation and airlines including flying taxis.

How to lead in times of crisis - turning chaos into opportunity.  Here are keys to agile leadership.

I have been teaching for over a decade how speed of change will be a huge challenge for all leaders and will demand Agile Leadership. 

Strategies of large corporations risk being overtaken by events.  Never has this been more true than in the last couple of years with COVID, Russian invasion of Ukraine and other major disruptions. Your world can change faster than you can hold a board meeting - and I'm not just talking about political changes, energy crises, civil conflicts, trade wars or mutant viruses.

Every large business contains hundreds of potential Wild Card risks - each of which may be very unlikely, but the combined risks can be huge - with very high probability of disruption from one event or another in any year. That's why we will see growing emphasis on Leadership Agility, Dynamic Strategy, back-up plans and Adaptive Risk Management.   

* "How AI Will Change your life - A Futurist's Guide to a Super-Smart World" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books.  It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including the impact of AI on leadership and management.