Future of Emerging Markets / India / China - keynote speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

Future of Emerging Markets - where 85% of the world now lives. Patrick Dixon is one of the world's best-known Futurist keynote speakers, has worked with hundreds of the world's largest companies and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today. Futurist articles / videos and keynote conference presentations on emerging markets - opportunities for multinationals to enlarge sales, and buy products or services at lower prices, including outsourcing and offshoring. Patrick Dixon has worked with hundreds of the world's largest multinationals including Google, Microsoft, General Motors, General Electric, Unilever, ExxonMobil, Siemens, DHL, Fedex, Vodafone, HSBC, Aviva, Prudential, Phillips, Nokia, Tetrapak, BP, Air France and the World Bank.

Patrick Dixon has given Futurist keynote presentations on a wide range of issues in Central America, Latin America, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Baltic States, Middle East, Africa, Central Asia and South East Asia. Countries include Barbados, Belarus, Brazil, Burundi, China, Czech Republic, Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Estonia, Fiji, Estonia, Hungary, India, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, Panama, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, Uganda, United Arab Emirates and Zimbabwe.

 

Shocking facts about your future - how 11 billion people will eat, sleep and breathe in our future world where 1% owns 65% of the wealth, 85% live in emerging markets, with new people movements and revolutionary forces

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

Unsustainable population growth

One billion children will become consumers in the next 15 years – the biggest jump in human history.

Today in Africa 350 million children see glimpses of your lifestyle and compare this to their own, surviving on less than $3 a day. Most of them will spend their entire adult lives living in cities, chasing dreams of wealth.

By 2025, most people on the planet will be in Asia.

85% of the world’s population will be living in emerging markets or today’s developing countries by then, mostly in cities.

Only 1 in 7 will be in today’s developed nations, driving less than 10% of the world’s economic growth.

Read more: Shocking facts about your future - how 11 billion people will eat, sleep and breathe in our future world where 1% owns 65% of the wealth, 85% live in emerging markets, with new people movements and revolutionary forces

   

Future of China - 300 year trend that will shake the entire world. Truth about so-called "emerging markets" and future risks for China - keynote

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

China is a wealthy ‘nation of nations’ with a huge middle class, gigantic manufacturing capacity, its own dotcom boom, the world’s largest high-speed rail network, and one of the best educated workforces in the world. China is evolving rapidly and for many globalised corporations manufacturing in China is becoming a rather old-fashioned idea, because of rising costs.

China is now the world’s largest economy according to the World Bank, on the measure of purchasing power parity (PPP), which looks at what the local currency will actually buy, after adjusting for international exchange rates.  China’s economy will be three times the size of India’s in 2025, as it is today, but we can expect that India will close that gap in the longer term.

On an absolute dollar basis, China will be the world’s largest economy by 2024, propelled by a threefold rise in consumer spending each year from $3.5 trillion in 2014 to $10.5 trillion by 2024. This will all be part of a transition from an export-led, manufacturing economy to a more balanced economy serving Chinese consumers.

Read more: Future of China - 300 year trend that will shake the entire world. Truth about so-called "emerging markets" and future risks for China - keynote

   

What Future for Saudi Arabia? Keys to competitiveness, investment, innovation, education, diversify economy - Saudi Arabia keynote

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

Future of Saudi Arabia - keynote at Global Competitiveness Forum (GCF 2015) organised by SAGIA. Comments by Patrick Dixon, Chairman Global Change Ltd, following keynote at the Riyadh event.

With a young and rapidly growing population, a key government objective is to create several million new jobs over the next few years, for nationals rather than for migrant workers.  Indeed the future well-being of the nation may depend on being able to generate enough new jobs, particularly for those from 18-30 years old.  While national policies have been developed to encourage companies to employ local people, Saudi Arabia is also looking to stimulate growth of local business and encourage inward investment. Need a world-class keynote speaker on competitiveness in the Middle East for your event? Phone or e-mail Patrick Dixon now.

Read more: What Future for Saudi Arabia? Keys to competitiveness, investment, innovation, education, diversify economy - Saudi Arabia keynote

   

Future Reform of State-Owned Enterprises in emerging markets

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

One of the greatest challenges facing emerging markets like China and Vietnam is what to do about State-Owned Enterprises, or nationally owned industries.  There are 145,000 of them in China alone. They generate 35% of China’s GDP and 43% of profits. Many of them survive only with large government subsidies, which distort national markets. They may enjoy lower tax rates than privately owned competitors. They often rely on huge bank loans at preferential rates of interest, crowding out other borrowers, discouraging investment and adding to government liabilities. So what should be done?

Read more: Future Reform of State-Owned Enterprises in emerging markets

   

Vietnam - faster growth than some other parts of Asia

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

Labour costs are only half that in China, for same job in same kind of factory.  But that only makes sense if productivity is half, which is unlikely, especially in any newly built manufacturing base.
Expect therefore that the investments will continue – although it may be a challenge to consistently top more than $10bn a year, as has been the case recently, because there are even cheaper destinations such as Myanmar that are opening up.Vietnam – time to catch up with rest of Asia.

Read more: Vietnam - faster growth than some other parts of Asia

   

Growth of Asia Exports – Vietnam Leads Emerging Markets

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

Asia exports growth economy china vietnamWhile many people talk a lot about the massive success of China, Indonesia, Phillipines and Asia, in exporting to developed nations, the truth is more complex and somewhat surprising.

A growing proportion of this export growth is to other emerging nations rather than to the developed world. As the graph shows, despite the huge economic downturn in developed nations, and rapid slowing of growth across Asia, Vietnam has outshone its neighbours in 2011 and 2012, with every prospect of continuing to do so. In 2011, exports from Vietnam increased by over 34%, and 24% in 2012.   There are a number of reasons for this.

Read more: Growth of Asia Exports – Vietnam Leads Emerging Markets

   

Why migration to cities is so vital to China - economic growth

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

China population move to cities

The Chinese government is planning for up to 300 million people to move to cities in the next decade.  This huge migration will place immense strain on infrastructure and housing, as well as on job creation.  These people are moving for a better life, in hope of higher incomes and opportunity.  The risk is social unrest if economic development fails to keep pace with expectations.Why mass migration to cities will continue in China for 40 years.

Read more: Why migration to cities is so vital to China - economic growth

   

Future of ASEAN - Asian equivalent of EU - Expect big job changes in 2015

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

600 million people, 8.8% of the world's population, live in nations which are part of the ASEAN community. If ASEAN were a single nation, it would rank be the 9th largest economy in the world. A key part of ASEAN 2015 is a proposal that people with skills should be able to move freely from one nation to another without need for work permits or special visas. This is a huge step which could have a huge impact on nations losing or gaining large numbers of skilled workers. Take the UK, which expected around 5,000 new migrant workers to enter the country each year following 10 new countries joining the EU.  The reality was that over a million people arrived from Poland alone during the first three years.

Read more: Future of ASEAN - Asian equivalent of EU - Expect big job changes in 2015

   

How street traders drive economic growth in emerging markets

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Emerging Markets, BRICS, Strategy Keynotes

It is easy for governments in emerging nations to focus policy on helping or attracting big business, but small family-owned businesses are usually the greatest creator of new jobs, partly because there are so many of them. If a million businesses with an average of 10 employees, each manage to employ an average of just one extra person each, that’s a million new jobs.  But most of these businesses will have started out informally and very small.  Lessons from informal street-traders in India and Vietnam.

Read more: How street traders drive economic growth in emerging markets

   

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