The TRUTH about the Global Economy, Wholesale Finance, Future Interest Rates, Real Estate Development and the Future of Banking - Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

We may debate the economics of the world over the last decade, which have been largely driven by growth in emerging markets (where 85% of humanity live), but the fact is that many corporations now have huge cash mountains and no idea what to do with it. Trillions of dollars of cash is sitting in bank accounts of large companies doing nothing at all - more than $2.3 trillion in large Japanese companies alone. $12 trillion was made available a few years ago by Central Banks to the largest banks in their own nations. $3.7 trillion was by the US Federal Reserve alone. In addition $10 trillion of government bonds were issued with negative rates of interest (see below). Yet despite all this, many banks have refused to take cash offered by governments to help stimulate their economies, even when they are effectively fined by Central Banks for doing so...

Read more: The TRUTH about the Global Economy, Wholesale Finance, Future Interest Rates, Real Estate Development and the Future of Banking - Keynote Speaker

Future Trends - impact on Portugal and rest of world. Managing risk and uncertainty, robotics and AI, and future ethics. Summary of keynote.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Interview for AESE Business School in Lisbon - about to give a keynote on global trends - 19th October 2017.  Here are major issues that are impacting very large numbers of companies across the world.  I usually group them as six factors that spell the word FUTURE, each of which forms one face of a cube.  The energy which spins the cube is EMOTION – reactions to events or trends are usually more important than events themselves.

“The world can change faster than you can hold a board meeting”, you said in a presentation. Among the hundreds of possibilities of change and innovation, what are the key trends do you foresee as having the most impact in business and personal life in this new World 4.0?"

Read more: Future Trends - impact on Portugal and rest of world. Managing risk and uncertainty, robotics and AI, and future ethics. Summary of keynote.

The truth about Northern Ireland’s borders after Brexit – passports and customs - and how demographic shifts will hugely alter political balance. Comment after keynote.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

29th September 2017

A lot of nonsense is talked about Brexit.  Here is the truth.

Sorting out all Brexit issues affecting the borders of Northern Ireland could take many years to fully resolve.  At the same time, the EU has made it clear that until a practical solution is agreed, even if such a solution is fine-tuned in future, discussions on a trade deal post-Brexit, will be on permanent hold.

There is a small chance that the entire Brexit process will be halted by a further vote in the UK, which could form part of an election manifesto commitment at the next election.  However this is becoming less likely at the moment, because opinion polls across the UK as a whole are more in favour of Brexit than when the original vote to leave took place.  (At the same time, paradoxically, opinion polls in other EU nations are becoming more positive about being part of the EU.)

For the purposes of this article, let us assume therefore that Brexit happens.

The EU has made absolutely 100% clear that they will not under any circumstances tolerate a breach anywhere in the EU wall controlling goods, services and movements of people across the border into the EU.  That is, unless

Read more: The truth about Northern Ireland’s borders after Brexit – passports and customs - and how demographic shifts will hugely alter political balance. Comment after keynote.

The truth about North Korea, President Trump, the real risk of war, and why options for the Pentagon and rest of world are so limited. What is likely to happen next.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Despite all the hot words from President Trump and some of the absurd commentary in the media, here is the truth about North Korea’s rapid military direction and about the complete impotence of the rest of the world.  And all taking place at a time when there are more geopolitical risks globally than for 30 years.

The fact is, that as we see every day in the failed state of Zimbabwe, or Afghanistan or more recently in the chaos of Venezuela, or in Syria or Iraq, the most powerful military forces in the world can be humbled and humiliated by the resilience and complexity of the tiniest of nations, however chaotic or weak they may appear to be.

Read more: The truth about North Korea, President Trump, the real risk of war, and why options for the Pentagon and rest of world are so limited. What is likely to happen next.

The Truth about Brexit - part 2 - what is likely to happen next and why, real impact likely to be very different than most expect. Why a second vote on Brexit is still a real possibility.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Update 4th September 2017

Before and shortly after the Brexit vote I correctly predicted that the UK economy would NOT go into immediate meltdown as so many had falsely forecast.  A lot of people are still talking a lot of nonsense.

Here is the truth about the current situation and what is likely to happen next:

Read more: The Truth about Brexit - part 2 - what is likely to happen next and why, real impact likely to be very different than most expect. Why a second vote on Brexit is still a real possibility.

Life after Brexit: why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote and what next. Why Brexit impact on trade, services, visas, banks and retail sales will be less than many fear

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote– and what next. We continue to hear toxic nonsense about life after Brexit.  Here is the truth: As I predicted, the impact of Brexit has been slight so far – despite some market turbulence to start with. Most analysts have had to eat their words, together with many political leaders, the IMF and a host of global CEOs – after being proven so spectacularly wrong. Despite constant warnings before and after the vote of instant economic meltdown, chaos, immediate recession, national and EU crisis, we have seen the exact opposite.

Read more: Life after Brexit: why I was right about immediate impact of the Brexit vote and what next. Why Brexit impact on trade, services, visas, banks and retail sales will be less than many fear

Truth about Brexit: what next in the UK v EU divorce, short term and long term. Impact on your personal life, house prices, brexit business strategy, community, EU and wider world. Cut through toxic nonsense. Brexit keynote speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

We are in completely uncharted waters in troubled times globally and across the EU.  Over 50,000 reads in hours following Brexit with frequent updates of this page. The decisive vote to divorce the UK from the EU will influence the future of an entire generation of business people. There is no official mechanism for leaving the EU: it has never been done before and there are no guidelines or procedures defined in law - in either the UK or in Brussels. (Comment by Patrick Dixon, Brexit keynote speaker - Brexit strategy advisor).

Brexit will have a profound impact on the future direction of the EU and is likely to trigger multiple, complex global events.  Just the fact that such a Brexit vote took place was already having an impact elsewhere across the EU before voting began.  For example, on 26th February 2016, an opinion poll in Denmark showed that most Danes want to have a vote of their own.  

And there is a significant risk of contagion - spread of uncertainty and fear, into chaos, into instabilities in currencies and economies, radical shifts in business strategies...  In a globalised world, such things can spread at the speed of light.

The longer term future of the EU and the future of the UK will both be driven by a single word, more powerful than economics, or innovation, and that word is of course  “emotion”, linked to the most important single human force in the world today which is TRIBALISM.

Read more: Truth about Brexit: what next in the UK v EU divorce, short term and long term. Impact on your personal life, house prices, brexit business strategy, community, EU and wider world. Cut through toxic nonsense. Brexit keynote speaker