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Video comment and clips from keynote on risk management for clients of Wolters Kluwer. Future of risk management in banks - urgent steps that every bank needs to take to reduce risks while still remaining agile and able to innovate.
Summary: Banks face multiple, highly complex risks in a world that is changing faster than you can call a board meeting. Some of these banking risks are preventing innovation - for example paralysis which often happens for several years after a merger, while legacy IT systems are made to work together. Others are working against customer interests - slowing down services or preventing access altogether. Some risks such as cyberattack are likely to grow rapidly over the next decade.
Need a world-class banking keynote speaker? Phone Patrick Dixon now or email.
Reducing risk in banking
Over the years I have lectured to hundreds
of risk managers in the banking industry.
The boards of most banks are only partially aware of the total risks
they are exposed to. Just look at the spiraling complexities of
cyberattacks alone. Many CEOs have been shocked by private warnings
recently from Secret Services about what is about to hit them.
Just today, I learned of yet another example
of how easy it is for CEOs of banks to be insulated from technology risks, to
be unaware of highly destructive, ticking time bombs: low probability but
potentially very devastating events that could go off at any time.
Risk managers who cannot manage banking risk
I remember before the sub-prime crisis
giving a keynote on banking risks – in which I identified correctly a number of
worrying areas that I thought likely to blow up in future. Afterwards a number of the audience came to
talk with me. They said that they agreed
with what I was saying but as risk managers they were almost powerless to do anything
about it. If the bank took a very
different view on a particular risk than the rest of the industry, they would
end up walking away from an area that was profitable at the moment and would be
criticized by analysts for being too cautious.
Benchmarking is highly toxic to risk management
That is why benchmarking is so toxic to
risk management – when risk managers benchmark their own bank against actions
by competitors in the same industry, the end result can be an entire industry
walking blindly over the same cliff. This is of course exactly what happened
in steps that led to the sub-prime crisis.
Risk management requires having courage to
stand for what you believe is a right view of risk, not being swayed by a
general industry view.
Risks changing faster than you can hold a board meeting
Risk management is now so complex in
banking and payments that it is almost impossible for even the largest players
to work on their own without partnerships and collaboration. Our world is
changing faster than you can hold a board meeting, and risks evolve at the
speed of light. That is why you are going to hear a lot more about agile
strategy, agile leadership, agile decision-making and a more dynamic and
resilient approach to risk management.
Institutional blindness - Big Data, Internet of Things and the Cloud
The biggest risk in any bank is institutional
blindness: and the best antidote is for risk managers to have a very broad view
of life, constantly reviewing the wider operating environment, and related
industries.
For example, when you add Mobile Payments
to the Internet of Things to Big Data, and put all that in the Cloud, you land
up with a mega target for every hacker in the world – whether criminals or
people acting for a foreign state power. So expect to see astonishing
levels of investment to keep these things secure, and some very worrying
headlines to come about mass attacks.
Managing risks from innovation in banking
And a further challenge is to manage risks
while also encouraging innovation, which by definition introduces change, new
systems and processes, new uncertainties and a range of new (and often poorly
understood) risks. That is why so many
banks are innovating on the peripheries of their core businesses, or in smaller
semi-independent entities which are used as test-beds for new products,
services, supporting structures and novel IT systems.
Risks from rogue employees
One of the greatest challenges to risk management in banks continues to
be rogue employees who act in ways that may just about be compliant with letter
of regulations, or may violate the spirit of them, or may flout them
completely, either acting alone or in collusion with many others. As we have seen recently in a whole stack of
banking scandals, the scale of compensation can dwarf the huge fines. Take the
rigging of Libor for example. It will
probably take at least a decade for all the civil court cases to come to trial
for compensation – and the sums involved could end up possibly even higher than
those in multiple class-action lawsuits against the tobacco industry.
There will always be rogues who get hired,
but banks can reduce the risk by changing the working culture, tightening
supervision, using stronger IT monitoring systems, and selecting different
kinds of people. Several companies now
offer highly sophisticated Big Data analysis that looks for a vast range of
unusual patterns – for example timings of unusual phone calls, or emails, that
seem statistically related to unusual trading patterns and so on.
Need a world-class risk management keynote speaker? Phone Patrick Dixon now or email.
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