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AIDS
in AFRICA - African AIDS toll rising...
AIDS prevention works - we can stop the spread of HIV - lessons from Uganda - Video
Comment by Dr Patrick Dixon, Founder of ACET, about how corporations can help stop AIDS. HIV prevention can produce huge falls in infection rates in teenagers
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I spoke myself to a Zimbabwe AIDS specialist recently
who says in one area 60% of all pregnant women are now infected
with HIV. It is not enough just to look at seroprevalence rates
however. Take a group of 100 college leavers in Uganda, aged 22.
Their seroprevalence rate is falling because of behaviour change
but may still be 20% in some groups. That means one in five will
probably be dead in 5-10 years. However, the even bigger question
is what the LIFETIME seroprevalence rate will be?
Let us say that of the group, only 80 are alive by
2005. But by then more will have become infected - say another 10-15.
By 2010 only 65-70 will be alive. But the infection may continue...
How many will still be free of HIV by the time they are 65 years
old? According to many experts in sub-Saharan Africa, in some groups
the toll could be very high, so that the majority of that generational
group have died over a period of three to four decades. We are no
longer talking about a health care or prevention issue, but about
economics, development and total country impact. However there is
some encouraging news: as I say, in Uganda seroprevalence rates
do appear to be falling sharply among teenagers.