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Futurist Keynote - Articles and Videos - Environment and Sustainability Trends
Global warming is probably one of the greatest threats to long term human survival. Our future will depend on how we respond today. Business will provide almost all the discoveries, innovations, technologies, products and services we need.
It’s a $40 trillion new market (over the next 30 years)....But most business leaders are only half awake.
The fastest way to save the world is for every business to take action now. It’s the “right” thing to do and makes great business sense. Ignore this issue and your business could auto-destruct. Take the message, boost your sales and grow your profits.
Faced with an unimaginable catastrophe, the business response to global warming will dwarf anything ever seen before in the history of the world, in numbers of companies, research efforts and sales.
These massive efforts will change forever how we live.
Business is already changing because of:
- Consumer attention
- Activist pressures
- New regulations
- Corporate image
- Cause-related marketing
- Personal decisions by employees
- Huge pressure to reduce costs
- Anticipating further pressures from government and consumers
Global investment in renewable energy alone is already running at $50bn a year. That’s nothing to what we will see in future:
- Wind
- Solar
- Geothermal
- Nuclear / uranium
- Carbon sequestration (technology and sites)
- Waves
- Tides
- New construction materials
- Battery technology
- Fuel cells
- Biofuel – all aspects
- Composters
- Recycling technology eg cars
- Conversion of CO2 to fuel (eg microbes / algae)
- Consulting services
- Environmental audit
- Carbon markets
- Offsetting schemes (controlling)
- Offset providers / brokers
- Legal and regulatory experts
The comprehensive Stern Report (2007) suggested that our world needs to spend $400-500bn each year fighting global warming. That’s an additional cost to society of around 1% of all economic activity. The target is to stop carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere rising higher than 500-550 parts per million (ppm) by 2050, up from 450 ppm today. But this will mean a significantly warmer world.
The Stern Report expects this $400-500 billion a year to be spent on changes in:
- Gas supply and distribution 25%
- Refined petroleum 24%
- Electricity production and distribution 16%
- Cement production 19%
- Fertilisers production and use 5%
- Fishing 5%
But the Report calculation only tells a small part of the story. Hundreds of thousands of new business products and services will be sold that don’t fit the headings above. The Report estimated additional costs to society, but most innovations will actually save money.
Take for example geothermal heating systems which will fall in cost rapidly as they are used more widely. These systems already pay for themselves in 20 years in fuel savings. Geothermal sales should not be counted as additional costs to society, particularly if phased in as old boilers need replacing, and in new homes being built.
But as we will see, the global market for geothermal heat systems alone could be worth £50bn a year or $2 trillion dollars over 20 years.
There’s opportunity for innovation and new sales everywhere – many of them hidden to consumers. It could be something as simple as a new low cost nanotechnology coating for ball bearings, reducing energy use in engines by at least 20%.
For every $1 of “additional cost” to society there will be at least a further $3 sales of products linked in some way to tackling global warming.
With all this stampede of investors there is also risk to almost every existing business....
- Commodity costs rise (cannot pass on, uncompetitive product)
- Rapid regulatory change
- Activist attack – if you are seen as wasteful or ignorant
- Reputational damage
- Product range looks “last century”
- No need for products in warmer climate
- Impossible to produce eg wine in drought areas
- Extreme weather risks
- Competitors seize “moral high ground” by doing more than you
Many more Global Warming Videos by Futurist Dr Patrick Dixon and Sustainagility book.
Here are more resources on this site that you may find helpful.
True Cost of Global Warming
How business will help solve global warming with green technology
CARBON DIET to save the World
Global Warming - Science Summary
Future of Oil Prices: Middle East, global economy
Roof Gardens Impact on Energy Saving
Biofuels Controversy and Climate Change
Iceland Volcano Eruption - Geothermal Power Potential
Energy Use Consulting - Boom Industry
Smart Power Regulation - Energy Saving
Green Technology Innovation Awards Chaired by Patrick Dixon
Product Exchanges and Climate Change
Wind Turbines and Global Warming
Solar Cell Roofing and Climate Change
Low Energy Streetlights and Global Warming
Polymer Cement - to save 2% global CO2
Carbon Capture - Climate Change Business
Future of Oil Industry when will oil run out? Kuwait and region
Heat Pumps - to prevent global warming
Cost of global warming - practical answers
The $40 trillion climate change business
Impact of Global Warming on Human Life
The Future of the Environment
Green Technologies innovation will help with climate change
Sustainability, climate change and crazy biofuels policy
Sustainagility: innovation will help save world. Sustainable business future
Sustainable business: $40 trillion green tech boom will help save world
How Green IT saves money and energy, improves image and environment - keynote
Water Wars Risk? Futurist Q&A with Patrick Dixon
Global Warming: green technology will help world
Economic Growth Limits? Sustainability. FUTURIST Q&A
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