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Trends Analysis by Dr Patrick Dixon Futurist

Videoconferences
Touching the Future

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Table of Contents

Videoconferences Touching the Future Patrick Dixon

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future of professional organisations not more of same … we need to be ready

2002 - 2005 will see major changes in your clients’ world - their markets and competitors

“Sustainable growth and profitability”

PWC Pressures Global Risk Management Services

New Ways to Manage Risk

Facing the Future

“Delivering Trust”

Eat or be Eaten ! Living until the next merger or joint action

“Take hold of the future or the future will take hold of you”

Who wants products?

Solution sets

People always change faster than companies

But small players can change faster

But small players can change faster - Easyjet

Don’t believe market research

Vision – Changes People “Once you have seen something you can never un-see it”

Attackers and defenders (Foster)

Attackers / Defenders

Attackers / Defenders

“I will survive!” – or how to get a job ?

Virtual Trading? - Virtual Exchange?

Death of National Stock Exchanges

Delivering Trust

Technology and People

1. Does technology help profits?

Technology = lower costs

Technology = job losses

Technology means lower margins

Banks make less money

New Technology - may mean only 6 month lead – good or bad news

Good news: making decisions at 3x normal speed of anything else Bad news: every step forward = 2 steps back ??

1 business year = 7 net years - Move at 10x normal speed to catch up

New technology can damage image

Cyber Tax Haven

Cyber Security

2. The truth about new techno-markets a) Retail

Zero Business Chain

Change bank / savings account

Reasons people buy on net

Ageing Population

My son Paul

“Do we HAVE to go shopping ?”

“I’ll do it on the net!”

Buying on the net is FUN

Future Trends...

2. The truth about new techno-markets and b) Business to Business

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Covisint Ford - General Motors – DaimlerChrysler – Renault / Nissan

Global Practice

Global Law

3. Work in a virtual world

Technology for Professionals

Values in Professionalism Where technology can help

Information Underload Value locked inside his head

Professionals will need fast keyboard skills to compete in next 5 years

Speech recognition already 98% accurate at 140 words per minute -

Computers change very slowly…. Especially their old-tech screens

….Compared to mobile phones

Short messages

Broadband – huge impact

Free global phone

The Future is Video

Video v E-mail

Direct Marketing on Digital TV

Digital TV changes everything

The End of Internet

Telecom will merge fully

Future Trends...

An injectable computer

Management @ speed of light

What will be the effect on people ?

Work / Home – integration We need to rethink how we organise people and where they work

50 million in America already work from home using networks

In a global operation across 40 countries what is the point of going to work?

Up to ten participants from ten locations – life size around desk

Use technology to “get a life”

Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION

Double Productivity for Zero Net Cost

Technology and Professional Firms

Values in Professionalism

Life in the Third Millennium

Future Trends...

The more virtual we are, the more relationships are important - touch

Deep Human Needs

The search for Experience

Building a Better World

Highest Values of All

The greatest challenge to management in the next decade will be to change fast enough to keep pace with new technology and new values Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us

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