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Trends Analysis by Dr Patrick Dixon Futurist

The Future of Stock Exchanges

Presentation for Swiss Exchange 1999

Click here to start

Table of Contents

Future Trends...

The world is running faster

World Trends and

Telephone Costs Fall

Telecommunications US

Satellite Phones

Technology means lower costs

Technology means job losses

Technology means job losses

Technology means lower margins

More Microprocessors than People

Techno -Redundancy

Speech recognition already 95% accurate at 100 words per minute -

The Network Society

UUNET adding bandwidth tenfold every year to cope

Internet Power

Larger and Faster

Military Grade Security

Modems (Analog)

Telecom merging ...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Net phones ++

BT - Office on Wrist

Net TV - 10,000 stations ...

New threat to Telecom future

New threat to Telecom

New threat to Telecom

New threat to Telecom

Any power socket becomes fast data connection

1 megabit per second - ten times faster than ISDN

Every home becomes intelligent

Every office is fully networked

Just power sockets in buildings ?

Threat to Telecom cable network

Power Co + Net = Telecom

Nortel-Norweb providing net in UK already

Any power socket gives global access to traders

Global Bargain Hunters

Executives will be totally networked

Save Travel Time

Save Travel Time

Life’s too short to spend in airports

Travel can damage your business ...

There are other ways to work

What did your competitors get up to while you were away?

5 million in America already work from home using networks

How digital will we become? Virtual Work

Empire Style Management

Virtual Companies

Intranet Explosion

Video Conference - dead technology

Video Link for Investors

Digital View - Virtual Work

BT - on-line surgery

Virtual Reality

Future Trends...

Building sent by e-mail

Alpha-world - virtual meetings

Future Trends...

Virtual Trading? - Virtual Exchange?

What will be the effect on people ?

Web access high in Switzerland

My son is 8 years old

“Do we HAVE to go shopping ?”

“I’ll do it on the net !”

“Shopping on the net is FUN”

In London - shopping in Zurich

Total Web Market

Reasons people buy on net

E-commerce

Net Advertising

E-commerce - Amazon.com

E-commerce - CISCO

Cars sell on the net….

Cyber Tax Haven

So what should we do ?

Executive Reactions

Struggle for DynamicVision

Don’t believe market research

Companies will be more Virtual

Example of financial services industry

Old Finance Industry

Attackers and defenders (Foster)

Attackers / Defenders

Attackers / Defenders

Branches are Dying

Non-Paper payments %

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Electronic Commerce

Electronic Commerce

Real time prices for free

Volumes up as costs fall

On-line Investors

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

On-line Investors

Hong Kong

Future Trends...

On-line trading worries

Internet trading in Europe

National Exchanges

EMU One continent - one stock market?

Change or Die

Remote Membership

Success brings success

New possibilities: ROX Risk Orientated Stock Exchange

IT percentage of operating costs

The robots are taking over ...

Future Trends...

Conclusions

The biggest challenge to Swiss Exchange will be to change even faster than the technology - to gain clear advantage Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us

Home Page: http://www.globalchange.com/search.htm

Other information:
by Dr Patrick Dixon, Chairman Global Change Ltd. For Swiss Exchange. The future of stock exchanges. Can stock exchanges survive? Virtual exchanges and virtual trading platforms. The end of national exchanges. New alliances and partnerships. Encouraging liquidity and stability in exchanges. Building trust, impact of new technologies on financial insitutions, dealers, trading floors, stock-brokers, private individuals. Online trading trends. The future of online brokerage. Winners and losers in a digital world. Why many traders are blind to the techno-revolution. Why people will be reluctant to pay for advice, once it becomes impossible to maintain margins on trading commissions and charges alone.