The Future of the Energy Industry

Table of Contents

Future Trends...

The future will not be more of the same ...… we need to be ready

Mergers – Take-overs Exxon's acquisition of Mobil at $76.9 billionBP's acquisition of Amoco at $57.6 billionPennzEnergy new name for PennzoilMiddle Bay Oil (Houston, TX) acquires Enex Consolidated Partners LP

Eat or be Eaten !Living until the next merger

“Gaining Critical Mass…” 

New Ways to Manage Energy

Technology - Friend or Enemy ?

Future Trends...

Technology = lower costs

Technology = job losses

Technology = job losses

Technology means lower margins

New Technology - may mean only 6 month lead

Attackers and defenders (Foster)

Attackers / Defenders

Attackers / DefendersWhich are you?

Don’t believe market research

Technovision – over the horizon

We say goodbye to each decade

“Stuck in the 19th century”

“You’re stuck in a late 20th century time-warp”

F U T U R E

Future Trends...

The world is running faster

World Energy Trends

World Energy Trends

World Energy Trends

Shopping as an Experience

…. Or shopping online

E-commerce hard to measure

AOL Christmas 1998

Rocksalt for the Commonwealth of Pennsylavia

Airline tickets - 1 million customers in first 12 months

“Do we HAVE to go shopping ?”

Electronic Commerce

MP3 - 3 million web music track downloads a day – most illegal CD copies….

My son is 10 years old

“I can sell on my website!”

“Selling on the net is FUN”

Future Trends...

Cyber Tax Haven

Loosing control of your futureOther people can damage image

More chips than People

Speech recognition already 95% accurate at 100 words per minute -

Telephone Revolution

Mobile Phones - impact

Techno -Redundancy

The Network Society

Telecom merging ...

Future Trends...

BT - Office on your body

An injectable computer

Net TV - 50,000 stations ...

Executives will be totally networked

Save Travel Time

Save Travel Time

Life too short to spend in airports

15 million in America already work from home using networks

Video Conference

Eye to Eye Contact

Video Link

Future Trends...

Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION

Brain to Brain

Brain to BrainBusiness @ the speed of thought

Future ManagementThought exchange @ the speed of light

Management @ speed of light

What will be the effect on people ?

Fast - summary

Fast - challenges

Future Trends...

World Population

Mega-cities - Mega-markets

Contrasts

Rich City Life - “kickback” cost

feminization of Society (eg UK)

Urban - summary

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Tribal conflicts

Future of Regions ?

Millions of Refugees

UN Peacekeeping - billions of dollars

Language Identity

Threat of English

Global Values Clash

Tribal Marketing Global brands yet local

Positive Tribalism = Values

Tribal - summary

Tribal - challenges

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Global Management adds Value

Intel Microprocessor

Just in Time

Mazda MX - 5 car

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

The Plane Cockpit Controls

e-business - problems

Indonesia Crisis

“Speculators should be shot”

Survey of Multinationals

Empire Style Tribalism

Virtual Companies

Asea Brown Boveri

Zurich HQ Staff

Virtual Networks

Intranet Explosion

Intranet Uses

Universal - summary

Universal - challenges

Future Trends...

Death of Political Theory

New Politics

Single Issues eg

How did this turkey live and die?

Did chickens ever run around on these legs?

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

A single issue can wreck your business

Future Trends...

”×Slide

Radical - summary

Radical - challenges

Future Trends...

The more virtual we are, the more relationships are important

Deep Human Needs

The search for experience

Problem of Motivation

Building a Better World

Beliefs

Spirituality and food

Islam

Christianity

Global Values

Highest Values of All

Ethical - summary

Ethical - challenges

Life in the Third Millennium

Future Trends...

Turning the cube...

The greatest challenge to energy industry in the next decade will be to change fast enough to keep pace with new technology and new valuesEither we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us

Future Trends...

With thanks to Presentation Graphics

Future Trends...

Home Page: http://www.globalchange.com

Other information:
Patrick Dixon keynote presentation 1999 for the PriceWaterhouse Coopers Global Energy Forum. Future of the energy industry. The future of the oil industry. The future of the coal industry. The future of the gas industry. The future of renewable energy. Global trends, sustainability, environment, mining, prospecting, wells, flare, refineries and refining. The future of the power industry, electricity generators and electricity generation inEurope, America, United States, Russia, Asia, Latin America, China, India and Africa. Environmental degradation, pollution. The future of carbon trading and the future of global warming. The future of climate change. Consumables and renewables. Forests, wood, cooking by charcoal. BP, Exxon, Shell. Amoco. Energy corporations. Corporate responsibility. Oil tankers and spillages. Transport policy, roads, petrol, gasoline, diesel, trucks. The future of solar energy and solar cells. The future of wind power. The future of wave power. Geothermal power generation. Carbon entrapment and sequestration. Oil rigs, oil donkeys in Texas.

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