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Trends Analysis by Dr Patrick Dixon Futurist

Private and Institutional Banking

10/10/02


Click here to start


Table of Contents

Future Trends...

Private and Institutional Banking

Private and Institutional Banking

Impact of technology - differences

The world is running faster

World Trends and Vontobel

Technology - Friend or Enemy ?

Technology = lower costs

Technology = job losses

Technology = job losses

Technology means lower margins

Old Finance Industry

Future Trends...

Attackers and defenders (Foster)

Attackers / Defenders

Attackers / Defenders

Electronic transactions %

Future of branches ? Location less relevant

Virtual Trading? - Virtual Exchange?

National Exchanges

EMU One continent - one stock market?

Change or Die

Remote Membership

Success brings success

Electronic Markets

Electronic Commerce

Cyber Tax Haven

Companies will be more Virtual

How digital will we become? Virtual Work

Empire Style Management

Virtual Companies

Virtual Clients

Executive Reactions

Struggle for DynamicVision

Need to have long range vision

Telephone by 2010 ?

Satellite Phones - impact

More Microprocessors than People

Techno -Redundancy

Speech recognition already 95% accurate at 100 words per minute -

The Network Society

Larger and Faster

Military Grade Security

Telecom will merge fully

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Net phones ++

Next - Office on Wrist

Net TV - 10,000 stations ...

No phone, cable, mobile, satellite ?

New threat to Telecom

New threat to Telecom

Any power socket connects to bank

1 megabit per second - ten times faster than ISDN

Every home becomes intelligent

Every office is fully networked

Global Bargain Hunters

Executives will be totally networked

Save Travel Time

Save Travel Time

Life’s too short to spend in airports

Travel can damage your business ...

There are other ways to work

What did his competitors get up to while he was away?

5 million in America already work from home using networks

Intranet Explosion

Video Conference - dead technology

Video Link for PB Clients

PB client gets global advice

Virtual Reality

Future Trends...

Building sent by e-mail

What will be the effect on people ?

Relationships become more important

Web access high in Switzerland

Web retail trade is ahead of banking

Total Web Market

Reasons people buy on net

E-commerce

Net Advertising

E-commerce - Amazon.com

E-commerce - CISCO

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

On-line Investors

On-line Investors Forrester Research

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

On-line Investors

On-line Investors

On-line Investors

Real time prices for free

Volumes up as costs fall

Future Trends...

Internet trading in Europe

Future Trends...

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter

Independent Advisers

New Information Services

Response of traditional banks has been uncertain

Future Trends...

Barclays Bank

Opportunities

Private Banking new e-mail tools

Summary

Private and Institutional Banking

The biggest challenge to Vontobel Bank will be to adapt even faster than the technology - to gain advantage Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us

Home Page: http://www.globalchange.com/search.htm

Other information:
by Dr Patrick Dixon for Bank Vontobel - executive board - 1999 - impact of new technology on Private Banking in Switzerland and other nations..

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