Table of Contents
Future Trends...
The Future of Department Stores
The Future of Department Stores
The future will not be more of the same ... … we need to be ready
2000 - 2005 will see major changes in markets and competitors
Changes in Retailing
More than Malls v Dept Stores
Changes in Retailing
Total Web Market
E-commerce
AOL Christmas 1998
WorldPay - actual on-line money flow in purchases
Don’t believe market research
We say goodbye to each decade
Honouring roots and traditions
“Stuck in the 19th century”
“You’re stuck in a late 20th century time-warp”
“You’re stuck in a late 20th century time-warp”
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
6 Faces of the Future
Past Trends
Past Trends
Past Trends
Past Trends
Impact of new technology
Technology means lower costs
Technology means job losses
Technology means lower margins
Huge investment needed
Pressure to develop limited range of core brand products
Telephone Revolution
More Microprocessors than People
Techno -Redundancy
Speech recognition already 95% accurate at 100 words per minute -
The Network Society
Market penetration of home computers and online services Jan. '99
Larger and Faster
Telecom merging ...
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
BT - Office on your body
An injectable computer
Net TV - 10,000 stations ...
Executives will be totally networked
Save Travel Time
Save Travel Time
Life too short to spend in airports
Travel can damage your business ...
There are other ways to work
What did your competitors get up to while you were away?
15 million in America already work from home using networks
Video Conference
Video Link
Future Trends...
Building sent by e-mail
Virtual Shops
What will be the effect on people ?
66% of UK wants home shopping
66% of UK wants home shopping
My son is 8 years old
“Do we HAVE to go shopping ?”
“I’ll do it on the net !”
“Shopping on the net is FUN”
In London - shopping in Dubai
Reasons people buy on net
E-commerce - Amazon.com
E-commerce - CISCO
Cyber Tax Haven
Executive Reactions
Struggle for DynamicVision
Example of financial services industry
Old Finance Industry
Attackers and defenders (Foster)
Attackers / Defenders
Attackers / Defenders
Branches are Dying
Non-Paper payments %
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Electronic Commerce
On-line Investors
Real time prices for free
On-line Investors
Future Trends...
Fast - summary
Fast - challenges
The greatest challenge to management in the next decade will be to change fast enough to keep pace with new technology Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us
Future Trends...
World Population
Mega-cities - Mega-markets
Rich City Life - “kickback” cost
feminization of Society (eg UK)
Ageing Population
Urban - summary
Urban - challenges
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Tribal conflicts
Millions of Refugees
UN Peacekeeping - billions of dollars
Nuclear Warheads
Language Identity
Threat of English
Global Culture Clash
Tribal Marketing
Tribes as small as five
Positive Tribalism
Tribal - summary
Tribal - challenges
Future Trends...
Global Management
Mazda MX - 5 car
Intel Microprocessor
Cost of Capital
Mobile Factory
Thai Currency 1997
Indonesia Crisis
“Speculators should be shot”
Work Force left behind
Global Citizens
Survey of Multinationals 1997
Empire Style Tribalism
Virtual Companies
Asea Brown Boveri
Zurich HQ Staff
Virtual Networks
Who is Us ?
Companies will be more Virtual
Intranet Explosion
Intranet Uses
Universal - summary
Universal - challenges
Future Trends...
Governments: Loss of Power
Death of Political Theory
New Politics
Single Issues eg
A single issue can wreck your business
Future Trends...
Greenpeace and Shell
H˙ű ˙ű
The Genetic Revolution DNA Designer Life
The Genetic Revolution Designer Life
The Genetic Revolution Designer Life
Mix and Match
Mix and Match
Remove chromosomes from an egg
Adult cell against an egg
Spark of electricity
Future Trends...
Cloning Human Embryos
Future Trends...
Radical - summary
Radical - challenges
Future Trends...
Deep Human Needs
Deep Human Needs
The search for experience
Problem of Motivation
Building a Better World
Beliefs
Spirituality
Islam
Christianity
Global Morality ?
Code of Conduct
Ethical - summary
Ethical - challenges
Life in the Third Millennium
Future Trends...
Turning the cube...
Future Trends...
With thanks to Presentation Graphics
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