Dr Patrick Dixon, futurist, conference speakers, keynote speaker, future banking, human cloning, global change, marketing, leadership, technology, trends
 
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Trends Analysis by Dr Patrick Dixon Futurist

The Future of the Airline Industry

The Future of the Travel Industry The Future of the Hotel Industry

See many more recent video and presentations eg future of the travel industry.

Click here to start

Table of Contents

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Mergers - take overs - alliances Delta - Air France SAirGroup - Sabena SAirGroup and Viad Corp SAA …. American Airlines... Will SwissAir actually survive?

Eat or be Eaten ! Living until the next merger

The future will not be more of the same We need to be ready

Future Trends...

2000 - 2005 will see major changes in markets and competitors

2000 - 2005 will see major changes in markets and competitors Business and leisure travel patterns will change

Global village - travel boom

Travel and Tourism Qs

Future Trends...

Changes in Food Industry

Changes in Food Retailing

E-commerce hard to measure

Total Web Market

AOL Christmas 1998

WorldPay - actual on-line money flow in purchases

Electronic Commerce

Price Equality

Cyber Tax Haven

Airport Shopping - threat

Internet Travel

Airline tickets - 1 million customers in 12 months - up to 7000 a day

My son is 9 years old

How many CDs would he have to sell on his web page to be very HAPPY?

Just one a year - wait tell he tells all his friends!

“Do we HAVE to go shopping ?”

“I’ll do it on the net…...”

Ebay buys tradition for $260m 12 fold increase in profits

Loosing control of your future

Don’t believe market research

“World class hospitality and excellence in service”

We say goodbye to each decade

“Stuck in the 19th century”

“You’re stuck in a late 20th century time-warp”

Future Trends...

F U T U R E

Future Trends...

6 Faces of the Future

Past Trends

Past Trends

Past Trends

Past Trends

Impact of new technology

Impact of new technology

Technology means lower costs

Technology means job losses

Technology means lower margins

Huge investment needed

Travel / Hospitality / Catering Industries

Attackers and defenders (Foster)

Attackers / Defenders

Attackers / Defenders

Telephone Revolution

More Microprocessors than People

Techno -Redundancy

Speech recognition already 95% accurate at 100 words per minute -

The Network Society

Larger and Faster

Telecom merging ...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Travel Agent on your body

A passport and travel card under your skin

Ultimate journey

Ultimate journey

Cargo Tracking - instant data Express and Deadline Delivery

Net TV - 10,000 stations ...

Executives will be totally networked

Save Travel Time

80% of management control for 20% of cost

Save Global Travel Time - competitive advantage

Life too short to spend in airports

Travel can damage business

There are other ways to buy / sell / manage

What did your competitors get up to while you were away?

15 million in America already work from home using networks

“We build trust by involving the people concerned in the decision- making process”

Video Conference

Eye to Eye Contact

Video Link

Own TV studio - Videoconferences

Future Trends...

Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION

Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION

Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION

BT - on-line surgery

Future Trends...

Virtual Meetings

What will be the effect on people ?

Executive Reactions

Struggle for DynamicVision

Fast - challenges

Fast - summary

Future Trends...

World Population

Mega-cities - new market

Rich City Life - “kickback” cost

feminization of Society (eg UK)

Food can kill - Obesity

Anti-fat foods

People want to live forever

Ageing Population

Ageing Population

Urban - summary

Urban - challenges

Future Trends...

“We practise multi-cultural sensitivity”

Future Trends...

Future Trends...

Tribal conflicts

Millions of Refugees

UN Peacekeeping - billions of dollars

Language Identity

Threat of English

Global Culture Clash

National Airline Crisis

Tribal Marketing

Positive (or negative) Tribalism ?

Building a tribe

Tribal - summary

Tribal - challenges

Future Trends...

Wherever you want to go today

Global Management

Mazda MX - 5 car

Intel Microprocessor

Cost of Capital

Mobile Factory

Thai Currency 1997

Indonesia Crisis

Beijing Hotels - Crisis

“Speculators should be shot”

Productivity comparisons in global market - Hotels

Work Force left behind

“Atlantic Excellence” competitor

Global Citizens

Survey of Multinationals 1997

Empire Style Tribalism

Virtual Companies

Asea Brown Boveri

Zurich HQ Staff

Companies will be more Virtual

Intranet Explosion

Intranet Uses

Universal - summary

Universal - challenges

Future Trends...

Governments: Loss of Power

Death of Political Theory

Death of Political Theory

New Politics

Single Issues eg

“We are sparing in our use of natural resources”

Sustainable Tourism

How did this turkey live and die?

Did chickens ever run around on these legs?

A single issue can wreck an airline

c

The Genetic Revolution DNA Designer Life

The Genetic Revolution Biggest Food Issue for next Decade Designer Food

Mix and Match

Mix and Match

Future Trends...

Radical - summary

Radical - challenges

Future Trends...

“We are open, have trust and are fair”

Deep Human Needs

Deep Human Needs

The search for experience

Problem of Motivation

Building a Better World (eg SOS Children’s Village - Swisscargo)

Beliefs

Spirituality

Islam

Christianity

Global Morality ?

Code of Conduct

Ethical - summary

Ethical - challenges

Life in the Third Millennium

Future Trends...

“Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us” Keep Turning the Cube Fast, Urban and Universal or Tribal, Radical and Ethical

Future Trends...

With thanks to Presentation Graphics

Future Trends...

Other information:
by Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd for Swissair Group (1999). Dixon has been ranked as one of the 50 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers50) and is often described as Europe's leading Futurist.

Note: presentation given to senior team before collapse of Swissair, and correctly anticipated the destruction of old pricing models due to growth of online bookings, instability of global economy, huge changes in corporate traveller expectations, growth of virtual working, tribalism and radical activism plus other important changes.

See also more recent video and presentation on the future of the travel industry.

The future of airlines industry, the future of air travel, the future of business travel, the future of tourism industry. Patterns of air travel and how air travel will change. Changing consumer demands and expectations. Impact of budget airlines such as Ryanair and Easyjet on traditional carriers in Europe and United States. Can national carriers survive in a global discounted market? Future of virtual communication and impact of new technology on demand for business travel. Changing expectations for business market in hotel occupancy patterns. Integration and mergers, bankruptcies, overcapacity, state subsidies, carrier competition, state subsidy, free skies policy, landing rights, taxes, aviation industry trends, British Airways, American Airlines, United Airlines, Swiss, Virgin Express, Sabena, Go, BA, Lufthansa, Qantas.