Table of Contents
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
FUTUREWISE personal and corporate survival
The future will not be more of the same ... … we need to be ready
Eat or be Eaten ! Living until the next merger or joint action
“Stuck in the 19th century”
“That’s SO last century” “You’re stuck in a late 20th century time-warp”
Don’t believe market research
Vision – Changes People “Once you have seen something you can never un-see it”
World Trends
Attackers and defenders (Foster)
Attackers / Defenders
Attackers / Defenders
“I will survive!”
Virtual Trading? - Virtual Exchange?
Technology Issues
1. Does technology help profits?
Technology = lower costs
Technology = job losses
Technology means lower margins
New Technology - may mean only 6 month lead – good or bad news
Good news: making decisions at 2x normal Bad news: every step forward = 3 steps back
1 business year = 7 net years - Move at 10x normal speed to catch up
New technology can damage image
2. The truth about new techno-markets a) Retail
Reasons people buy on net
Speed: MP3 overtakes sex on net - 4 million web music track downloads a day – most illegal CD copies….
Cyber Tax Haven
Zero Business Chain
Future Trends...
2. The truth about new techno-markets b) Business to Business
Future Trends...
Future Trends...
Ford and General Motors
3. Work in a virtual world
Information Overload? Higher risk of serious mistakes
Information Underload Value locked inside his head
Speech recognition already 98% accurate at 140 words per minute -
Computers change very slowly….
….Compared to mobile phones
Short messages
Techno -Redundancy
The End of Internet
Telecom will merge fully
Direct Marketing on Digital TV
Future Trends...
BT - Office moves from buildings to human bodies
An injectable computer
Management @ speed of light
Brain to Brain
Future Management Thought exchange @ the speed of light
Brain to Brain Shared emotion @ the speed of light
What will be the effect on people ?
Work / Home – integration We need to rethink how we organise people and where they work
Happy homes = productive people
Life too short to spend in airports $200,000 a year – 6 weeks at 33,500ft
15 million in America already work from home using networks
In a global operation across 25 countries what is the point of going to work?
Up to ten participants from ten locations – life size around desk
Use technology to “get a life”
Client gets global advice
Travel and telephone / conferencing should be same budget - COMMUNICATION
“Competent, decisive employees… ………willing to take responsibility”
The more virtual we are, the more relationships are important – High tech, High touch
Deep Human Needs
The search for experience
Problem of Motivation Cost of staff turnover
Surviving Rapid Change
Building a Better World
The greatest challenge to management in the next decade will be to change fast enough to keep pace with new technology and new values Either we take hold of the future or the future will take hold of us
Future Trends...
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Home Page: http://www.globalchange.com/search.htm
Other information:
by Dr Patrick Dixon - Human Resources Forum 1999. The future
of people, the future of work, the future of virtual teams,
the future of virtual management. Global teams and new tgechnology.
People management in multinational organisations. Technology
tools to improve workplace productivity. How to make things
happen. Change management. Motivating people to achieve great
results. Successful corporations and how to build them. Recruitment,
retention and the war for talent. In-service training and e-learning.
Career development. Mergers and de-mergers - impact on people
management. Employment policies and employment practices.
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